According to the most recent population projections, Japan's population will have 40% of older people in 2060. Kenji Shimazaki explains the implications of this shift in plain language and provides areca nut peeling machine food for thought on what to do now to soften the blow.
Japan has become in recent years a rapidly aging society with a declining population. It peaked around 2008 and 2007 the proportion of people aged at least sixty-five years has crossed the 21% threshold, at which a society is called "super-aged" areca nut peeling machine very aging. According to the latest edition of "Population Projections for Japan" published in January 2012 by the National Institute of Population and Social Security Research (INPRSS), aging and depopulation should intensify in the coming years . All this makes clear that the Japanese company will be in fifty years radically different in many respects from what it is today. My purpose is to provide some guidance on how it will look, how it will work, and what we can do to mitigate the impact. Portrait of a very aging society
Discussions on Japan's demographic problems often focus on depopulation, areca nut peeling machine but it is important to realize that the structure of the Japanese population in fifty years will not simply be a reduced version of what it is today. Understanding the demographic structure
The above figures areca nut peeling machine compare the age in Japan in 1960, 2010 and 2060 (projected). They allow to understand the change that is happening. Between 2010 and 2060, the total area of the pyramids, areca nut peeling machine that is to say, the population decreases, but their shape is also changing remarkably. Talk of a pyramid is already difficult in 2010 as the figure we see instead the appearance of a vase which the stratum of middle-age and older people is the widest part. In 2060, is the appearance of an inverted pyramid. In passing, note that the number of centenarians reported for 2060 is not subject to error. They were a hundred in 1960, but already about 44 000 in 2010, and according to the latest projections INPRSS, there will be some 637,000 in 2060. (* 1) The Japanese population should not only decrease during the coming decades, but its structure will also undergo a radical transformation.
The three pyramids are also useful to illustrate the impact areca nut peeling machine of the Japanese baby boom after the war, which lasted from 1947 to 1949. In the 1960, the baby boomers were between eleven and thirteen years and their impact areca nut peeling machine on the age structure is visible in the enlargement of the pyramid just below the "15 years" of age axis. In 2010, they were between sixty-one areca nut peeling machine and sixty-three years, as shown by the marked enlargement of the figure to that level, while their children are at the origin of the visible around the level of forty years. This illustrates an important truth in demography, the long-term impact of the birth at a given time. We can generally say that the age of the present, and even that of the near future, is governed by the events of the past. Demographic change that we emphasize areca nut peeling machine here the result of the steady decline in the birth rate during the decades that followed the baby boom from 1947 to 1949, especially from the mid-70 when it fell below the turnover rate, which is the rate to be achieved to maintain a stable population. This means that the very rapid aging and depopulation of Japan in the coming decades is to a large extent irreversible and must be considered certain. Structural changes in the total population
The pyramids are useful for visualizing the changes occurring in the structure of the population, but a more detailed analysis is needed areca nut peeling machine to uncover the problems that Japan will face in the coming decades and to identify remedies appropriate. We will use the table below, a compilation of key demographic indicators of the past (1960 and 1985), the present (2010) and future (2035 and 2060), provided by the Population Projections for Japan and other statistics government. We can identify, from these data, five major trends. The age structure in Japan, 1960-2060 1960 1985 2010 2035 2060 A. Population (in millions) Index: 100 = 2010 93.42 (73.0) 121.05 (94.5) 128.06 (100) 112.12 (87.6) 86.74 (67.7) B. In
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